According to @CryptoMichNL, the U.S. government shutdown has ended, yet altcoins show little strength, signaling an ongoing market correction for the crypto sector (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 17, 2025). According to @CryptoMichNL, he characterizes the price action as a continuous correction and directs traders to a new YouTube update for details and context (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 17, 2025; YouTube link shared in his post). According to @CryptoMichNL, the communicated tone is cautious toward altcoins until strength returns, given the stated lack of momentum in the current correction phase (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 17, 2025).

According to @WhiteHouse, the 43-day Democrat Shutdown led to missed paychecks, over $10 billion in wages and benefits being held, millions of low-income families losing SNAP assistance, flight disruptions, and billions erased from the economy (source: @WhiteHouse, Nov 13, 2025). For trading relevance, the reported missed paychecks and delayed benefits map to consumer demand risk; the reported SNAP disruption maps to lower essential spending capacity; the reported flight disruptions map to airline and travel exposure; and the claim of billions erased from the economy maps to broader risk sentiment across equities, the USD, and liquidity-sensitive crypto assets such as BTC and ETH (source: @WhiteHouse).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the shutdown’s final tally includes 5 million airline passengers delayed or canceled, 619 billion dollars in new federal debt, a federal statistical system described as permanently damaged, 43 days of delayed economic data, potential non-release of October jobs and inflation reports, and 750,000 federal workers furloughed, with funding only extended through January 30. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Nov 13, 2025. According to @KobeissiLetter, the potential absence of October CPI and jobs reports removes key inputs that markets use to price interest rate expectations. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Nov 13, 2025; CME Group FedWatch Tool. Crypto markets have shown sensitivity to US macro data surprises and cross-asset risk sentiment, making a prolonged data blackout a relevant factor for BTC and ETH traders to monitor. Source: Coin Metrics research 2023–2024.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the U.S. government shutdown has ended and markets are up; source: @CryptoMichNL on X. The author characterizes the session as positive by noting that markets are up; source: @CryptoMichNL on X.

According to @WhiteHouse, President Trump signed a bill to officially reopen the US government, ending the shutdown. source: @WhiteHouse Reopening would restore operations at agencies whose data releases were delayed during shutdowns, such as BEA and Census reports on retail sales and trade, reducing macro uncertainty for rates and USD pricing. source: US Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis and US Census Bureau 2019 shutdown notices The CBO estimated the 2018–2019 shutdown reduced the level of GDP by about 11 billion dollars, with 3 billion permanently lost, effects that typically fade as agencies resume work. source: Congressional Budget Office January 2019 Historically, equity and Treasury market reactions to shutdowns have been modest and short lived, with risk assets stabilizing after reopenings. source: LPL Financial Research 2019 and Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 2018 Crypto tends to follow broader risk sentiment and the dollar, with correlations to equities rising in recent years, so improved risk tone and a softer USD have aligned with firmer BTC and ETH. source: International Monetary Fund January 2022 and Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report May 2022 Federal employees typically receive back pay when a shutdown ends, supporting near term spending and liquidity, another tailwind for risk assets. source: US Office of Personnel Management 2019

According to @StockMKTNewz, CNBC compiled historical S&P 500 performance following the end of prior US government shutdowns, providing a data-driven baseline for post-shutdown equity returns (source: @StockMKTNewz; source: CNBC). Traders can reference this CNBC history to frame near-term SPX bias, manage risk into a potential relief move, and monitor spillover to crypto beta such as BTC during shifts in macro risk sentiment (source: @StockMKTNewz; source: CNBC).

According to @StockMKTNewz, President Trump is scheduled to sign the bill to officially end the US government shutdown tonight at 9:45 PM ET. According to @StockMKTNewz, the precise timing creates a defined event window for traders to manage risk and set alerts across after-hours U.S. markets and 24/7 crypto venues, including BTC and ETH, around the announcement time.

According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. House is scheduled to vote around 7 PM ET on the same funding bill already passed by the Senate, and if approved, President Trump is expected to sign it within hours to reopen the government (source: @BullTheoryio). The author states federal agencies would reopen, furloughed workers would return with back pay, and government contracts and payments would resume, restoring fiscal activity (source: @BullTheoryio). The author further claims the Treasury could release over $950B from the Treasury General Account that has been idle since October, adding a significant liquidity impulse to the system (source: @BullTheoryio). The author suggests this liquidity wave tends to favor risk-on assets, implying Bitcoin (BTC) and broader crypto could react positively as liquidity returns (source: @BullTheoryio). Traders may monitor BTC price action into and after the 7 PM ET vote window as liquidity expectations reprice in real time (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @BullTheoryio, House Speaker Mike Johnson said the 40+ day U.S. government shutdown will officially end tonight following a House vote on the Senate-passed funding bill (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Nov 12, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, the Trump Administration backs the measure and President Trump will sign it to reopen the government tonight (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Nov 12, 2025). For traders, the immediate catalyst window is the House vote and potential signing tonight, with risk sentiment in BTC and ETH likely to react around the headline timing if the resolution is executed as reported (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Nov 12, 2025).

According to Gracy Chen of Bitget, the DAT model may benefit project teams but not investors, with many long-tail DAT deals amounting to in-kind token conversions that lack substantive value, which traders should treat cautiously for risk management, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226. She adds that the Oct 11 epic crypto liquidations magnified a longer-term trend where small-cap altcoins face a structural squeeze rather than a temporary setback, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226. Chen states market pricing power has shifted to institutions and Wall Street, implying order flow and liquidity are increasingly institution-led, which impacts retail timing and asset selection, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226. She highlights December as a key macro window with the end of the US government shutdown and attention on potential rate cuts likely setting the policy tone; if liquidity eases, both crypto and US equities could see upside, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226. For positioning, Chen advises focusing on compliance and leading assets over new-concept hype as the industry shifts from rough growth to regulated development, source: Gracy Chen on X, Nov 12, 2025 https://x.com/GracyBitget/status/1988617515098882226.

According to @cas_abbe, BTC’s daily MACD bullish crossover is approaching, signaling a potential momentum shift on the daily timeframe (source: @cas_abbe). According to @cas_abbe, the US government shutdown has ended, which they assert could release billions in liquidity into markets (source: @cas_abbe). According to @cas_abbe, Bitcoin tends to follow liquidity conditions, so traders are watching for confirmation via a daily MACD cross and signs of renewed inflows to gauge near-term BTC direction (source: @cas_abbe).

According to @camillionaire_m, the Ethereum network continues to function regardless of a US government shutdown, keeping on-chain activity accessible to traders. Source: Camilla McFarland on X. Ethereum’s consensus and execution are maintained by globally distributed validators and nodes rather than U.S. government systems, so DEX swaps, settlements, and transfers on ETH remain operational. Source: Ethereum.org documentation. In past shutdown contingencies, the U.S. SEC indicated most operations would pause, which can delay regulatory actions, but this does not affect Ethereum’s network uptime. Source: U.S. SEC Operations Plan for Lapse in Appropriations. For trading, this means DeFi liquidity, staking rewards, and L2 rollup activity on Ethereum continue even if U.S. regulatory processing slows, allowing strategies to rely on on-chain execution and risk management. Source: Ethereum.org documentation; U.S. SEC.

According to Kashif Raza, the last time the US government reopened after a shutdown, Bitcoin rose about 300% in five months, as stated in his post on X. Official records from the Congressional Research Service show the 2018–2019 shutdown ended on January 25, 2019, providing the reopening date reference. From the January 25, 2019 close near 3,600 dollars to late-June 2019 intraday highs near 13,800 dollars, BTC gained roughly 250–280%, based on Yahoo Finance BTC-USD historical data. Standard investor guidance from the U.S. SEC notes that past performance does not guarantee future results, underscoring the need for risk management when using historical patterns.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, as the market rallied on bets that the US government shutdown would end, James Wynn stated the move is only the start of a broader decline, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1987737714612117582. The post adds that Wynn did not disclose a primary short address, and based on prices at his post time the estimated short entries are BTC around $105,894 and ETH around $3,625, while the specific tokens covered by the short remain unknown, source: @ai_9684xtpa on X https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1987737714612117582.

According to @GOPMajorityWhip, some Senate Democrats have moved toward reopening the federal government after a prolonged shutdown, and he urged immediate action to end it; source: @GOPMajorityWhip on X, Nov 10, 2025. For traders, prior shutdown episodes coincided with elevated policy uncertainty that can lift market volatility across risk assets, as seen during the Jan 2019 episode when the Economic Policy Uncertainty index surged; source: Economic Policy Uncertainty data by Baker, Bloom, and Davis. The 2018–2019 35‑day shutdown reduced real GDP by about $11 billion, signaling tangible macro drag that can influence USD and Treasury yields and, by extension, crypto liquidity conditions; source: Congressional Budget Office, “The Effects of the Partial Shutdown,” January 2019. Crypto has shown sensitivity to macro liquidity, with BTC’s rolling correlation to the Nasdaq 100 exceeding 0.6 during 2022 risk-off periods, underscoring potential spillovers from fiscal and funding shifts; source: Coin Metrics correlation time series, 2022. If a reopening deal leads to increased near-term Treasury bill issuance to rebuild the Treasury General Account, it can drain bank reserves and tighten USD liquidity, historically a headwind for risk assets including BTC and ETH; source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Liberty Street Economics analyses on the TGA and reserves, 2023.

According to @AltcoinDaily, Polymarket shows an 89 percent probability that the US government shutdown ends later this week, reflecting active pricing in the corresponding prediction market, source: Altcoin Daily on X; Polymarket. At roughly a 0.89 Yes price that pays 1 dollar if resolved Yes, the gross upside is about 12 to 13 percent, implying 100 dollars could return about 113 dollars before fees and slippage, source: Polymarket payout mechanics; Altcoin Daily on X. Crypto-native traders can express or hedge this short-dated macro outcome via the on-chain prediction market while monitoring resolution timing, liquidity, and fees for position sizing, source: Polymarket.

According to Bull Theory, US House Speaker Mike Johnson said he has enough votes to pass a bill to reopen the government, and Bull Theory reports Polymarket is pricing the shutdown to end this Thursday, which the author characterizes as bullish for markets; source: Bull Theory on X, Nov 10, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket odds now indicate the US government shutdown is expected to end on Thursday, with the author describing it as the longest shutdown in US history set to conclude (source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Nov 10, 2025; source: Polymarket market data, accessed Nov 10, 2025). A resolution is associated with lower near-term US policy uncertainty, a variable empirically linked to changes in risk-asset volatility and performance (source: Baker, Bloom, and Davis, Economic Policy Uncertainty research, 2016). Crypto remains sensitive to macro risk, with BTC’s correlation to equities rising in recent years, implying potential spillovers into BTC and ETH price action as policy clarity improves (source: IMF Global Financial Stability Note, Jan 2022; source: Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report, Nov 2022). Traders can monitor DXY and US Treasury yields alongside BTC and ETH spot moves around the market-implied timing to gauge risk-on or risk-off follow-through (source: IMF 2022 note on cross-asset correlations; source: Polymarket market timing, accessed Nov 10, 2025).

According to @cryptorover, U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson said the nightmare is ending, implying a U.S. government shutdown resolution could be imminent, which the author reports as market-positive (source: Crypto Rover on X, Nov 10, 2025). The author frames this as bullish for risk assets, flagging potential upside sentiment for BTC and ETH as policy uncertainty diminishes (source: Crypto Rover on X, Nov 10, 2025). Traders can watch for risk-on follow-through in crypto via spot-led bids and tightening futures basis if the shutdown risk recedes as implied by the author’s update (source: Crypto Rover on X, Nov 10, 2025).

According to @CoinMarketCap, the Alt Szn Index has rebounded to 34, marking a recovery in its altcoin-focused gauge, source: @CoinMarketCap. According to @CoinMarketCap, this update coincides with indications that the US government shutdown is nearing an end, source: @CoinMarketCap.